If you choose to use this, do not put too large a protion of your portfolio in it. Use it as a part of a nutritious diet. I mean it! Don't go nuts!
| Ticker | Date In | Date Out | Price In | Price Out | Div % | Gain | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EWO | 2002-12-31 | 2003-02-14 | 7.7200 | 7.9200 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 2.6 |
| SHY | 2003-02-14 | 2003-02-28 | 68.2600 | 68.4400 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.3 |
| EWO | 2003-02-28 | 2003-03-14 | 8.1100 | 7.8100 | 0.00 | -0.30 | -3.7 |
| SHY | 2003-03-14 | 2003-03-28 | 68.3100 | 68.5400 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.3 |
| EWO | 2003-03-28 | 2003-06-06 | 8.0000 | 9.9400 | 0.00 | 1.94 | 24.2 |
| EWZ | 2003-06-06 | 2003-06-20 | 9.7300 | 9.3600 | 0.00 | -0.37 | -3.8 |
| EWP | 2003-06-20 | 2003-07-03 | 19.8700 | 19.8000 | 0.00 | -0.07 | -0.4 |
| EWZ | 2003-07-03 | 2003-12-31 | 9.6400 | 15.4800 | 0.00 | 5.84 | 60.6 |
| EWZ | 2003-12-31 | 2004-04-16 | 15.4800 | 14.3500 | 0.00 | -1.13 | -7.3 |
| EWT | 2004-04-16 | 2004-04-23 | 11.3100 | 11.2000 | 0.00 | -0.11 | -1.0 |
| EWY | 2004-04-23 | 2004-04-30 | 28.0100 | 25.4500 | 0.00 | -2.56 | -9.1 |
| EWD | 2004-04-30 | 2004-05-21 | 15.0900 | 14.9300 | 0.00 | -0.16 | -1.1 |
| EWO | 2004-05-21 | 2004-12-31 | 14.2400 | 21.0200 | 0.00 | 6.78 | 47.6 |
| EWO | 2004-12-31 | 2005-03-24 | 21.0200 | 20.7100 | 0.00 | -0.31 | -1.5 |
| EWZ | 2005-03-24 | 2005-12-31 | 20.1400 | 32.3300 | 0.00 | 12.19 | 60.5 |
| EWZ | 2005-12-31 | 2006-08-25 | 32.3300 | 36.4000 | 0.00 | 4.07 | 12.6 |
| EWW | 2006-08-25 | 2006-09-08 | 39.8500 | 38.3700 | 0.00 | -1.48 | -3.7 |
| EWN | 2006-09-08 | 2006-09-15 | 22.0800 | 22.7200 | 0.00 | 0.64 | 2.9 |
| EWW | 2006-09-15 | 2006-10-06 | 41.2400 | 41.8200 | 0.00 | 0.58 | 1.4 |
| FXI | 2006-10-06 | 2006-12-31 | 26.0900 | 37.2700 | 0.00 | 11.18 | 42.9 |
| FXI | 2006-12-31 | 2007-03-02 | 37.2700 | 29.3500 | 0.00 | -7.92 | -21.3 |
| EWS | 2007-03-02 | 2007-03-16 | 10.1100 | 10.9100 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 7.9 |
| EWW | 2007-03-16 | 2007-03-30 | 49.4700 | 53.9000 | 0.00 | 4.43 | 9.0 |
| EWM | 2007-03-30 | 2007-05-18 | 10.0900 | 11.2500 | 0.00 | 1.16 | 11.5 |
| EWW | 2007-05-18 | 2007-06-29 | 58.7300 | 60.2700 | 0.00 | 1.54 | 2.6 |
| PGJ | 2007-06-29 | 2007-07-27 | 26.1100 | 26.0900 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.1 |
| FXI | 2007-07-27 | 2007-12-07 | 44.5600 | 60.0400 | 0.00 | 15.48 | 34.7 |
| EWZ | 2007-12-07 | 2007-12-31 | 79.1800 | 76.2600 | 0.00 | -2.92 | -3.7 |
| EWZ | 2007-12-31 | 2008-07-25 | 76.2600 | 72.6700 | 0.00 | -3.59 | -4.7 |
| SHY | 2008-07-25 | 2008-08-01 | 80.6600 | 80.7900 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.2 |
| EWZ | 2008-08-01 | 2008-08-08 | 71.2700 | 67.8800 | 0.00 | -3.39 | -4.8 |
| SHY | 2008-08-08 | 2008-12-31 | 80.7600 | 83.3900 | 0.00 | 2.63 | 3.3 |
| SHY | 2008-12-31 | 2009-07-24 | 83.3900 | 83.6400 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.3 |
| EWM | 2009-07-24 | 2009-09-04 | 9.6500 | 10.0400 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 4.0 |
| FXI | 2009-09-04 | 2009-09-11 | 42.3600 | 42.2221 | 0.00 | -0.14 | -0.3 |
| EWZ | 2009-09-11 | 2009-12-31 | 62.8900 | 74.6100 | 3.49 | 11.72 | 22.1 |
| EWZ | 2009-12-31 | 2010-01-22 | 74.6100 | 67.8044 | 0.15 | -6.81 | -9.0 |
| EWO | 2010-01-22 | 2010-02-05 | 19.9385 | 18.1399 | 0.00 | -1.80 | -9.0 |
| EWY | 2010-02-05 | 2010-02-12 | 44.4386 | 46.7950 | 0.00 | 2.36 | 5.3 |
| EWW | 2010-02-12 | 2010-02-19 | 48.2397 | 49.1001 | 0.00 | 0.86 | 1.8 |
| EWZ | 2010-02-19 | 2010-02-26 | 69.4981 | 69.4630 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.1 |
| EWS | 2010-02-26 | 2010-03-05 | 11.0850 | 11.3001 | 0.00 | 0.22 | 1.9 |
| EWZ | 2010-03-05 | 2010-03-10 | 72.3286 | 73.0600 | 0.00 | 0.73 | 1.0 |
The 9/11/2009 EWZ entry is the first live, post-discovery position. Before that, the listed prices are the adjusted close price in the first trading day after the decision. The Price Out on the 9/4/2009 FXI position is the real FolioFN price.
Prices for the live entries from are my actual trades. Life permitting, these will generally be made in the 11 AM FolioFn trade window of the next trading day. The dividend entry will be % of purchase price and won't be listed until after the end of the month.
| Year | GAGR |
|---|---|
| 2003 90.1 | |
| 2004 21.8 | |
| 2005 58.2 | |
| 2006 61.6 | |
| 2007 37.4 | |
| 2008 -6.1 | |
| 2009 27.0 | |
| 2010 -8.6 |
The gains in the table below are the raw, not-normalized percent gains for the stated periods. "235" is the gain from today minus 235 trading days to today. "200" is the gain from today minus 200 trading days to today. This must be posiive for the ETF to be picked (except SHY). (By "today", I mean the decision day, not the day you are reading this.)
The "Score" is the "235" gain. Add another 6% to the Score on the ETF that is currently held (that is, multilply the score by 1.06) to get its Juiced Score. (The 6% is called the "step" in the Wave machine.) Sort by the Juiced Score and buy the highest ranked ETF, skipping any with "200" gain not positive (except SHY, which is our fallback position).
There was no real science to the ETF list selection. They Seemed Like A Good Idea At The Time®. It is basically other national economies plus SHY.
| ETF | Gain | Score | Cur ETF | Juiced Score | Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 days | 200 days | ||||||
| EWZ | iShares MSCI Brazil Index | 102.0% | 45.7% | 102.0 | 101.96 | 1 | |
| EWW | iShares MSCI Mexico Investable Mkt Idx | 92.6% | 38.9% | 92.6 | 92.62 | 2 | |
| EWD | iShares MSCI Sweden Index | 91.7% | 37.2% | 91.7 | 91.72 | 3 | |
| EWS | iShares MSCI Singapore Index | 85.8% | 29.0% | 85.8 | Yes | 90.91 | 4 |
| EWA | iShares MSCI Australia Index | 88.1% | 52.8% | 88.1 | 88.13 | 5 | |
| EWY | iShares MSCI South Korea Index | 77.9% | 32.8% | 77.9 | 77.94 | 6 | |
| EWN | iShares MSCI Netherlands Invstbl Mkt Idx | 73.2% | 33.6% | 73.2 | 73.23 | 7 | |
| EWK | iShares MSCI Belgium Investable Mkt Idx | 69.8% | 31.8% | 69.8 | 69.82 | 8 | |
| PGJ | PowerShares Gldn Dragon Halter USX China | 69.5% | 25.2% | 69.5 | 69.54 | 9 | |
| EZA | iShares MSCI South Africa Index | 69.5% | 35.9% | 69.5 | 69.51 | 10 | |
| EWO | iShares MSCI Austria Investable Mkt Idx | 67.3% | 26.4% | 67.3 | 67.33 | 11 | |
| EWM | iShares MSCI Malaysia Index | 65.5% | 36.2% | 65.5 | 65.48 | 12 | |
| EWU | iShares MSCI United Kingdom Index | 62.3% | 24.9% | 62.3 | 62.33 | 13 | |
| EWH | iShares MSCI Hong Kong Index | 61.4% | 24.4% | 61.4 | 61.42 | 14 | |
| IEV | iShares S&P Europe 350 Index | 58.2% | 23.4% | 58.2 | 58.19 | 15 | |
| EWL | iShares MSCI Switzerland Index | 57.7% | 29.5% | 57.7 | 57.66 | 16 | |
| EWT | iShares MSCI TAIWAN Index | 57.6% | 16.7% | 57.6 | 57.56 | 17 | |
| EWP | iShares MSCI Spain Index | 57.1% | 20.7% | 57.1 | 57.12 | 18 | |
| EWQ | iShares MSCI France Index | 55.2% | 23.4% | 55.2 | 55.23 | 19 | |
| FEZ | SPDR DJ EURO STOXX 50 | 53.7% | 19.2% | 53.7 | 53.71 | 20 | |
| EWI | iShares MSCI Italy Index | 52.8% | 11.4% | 52.8 | 52.80 | 21 | |
| FXI | iShares FTSE/Xinhua China 25 Index | 50.3% | 16.7% | 50.3 | 50.29 | 22 | |
| EWG | iShares MSCI Germany Index | 50.0% | 17.7% | 50.0 | 50.04 | 23 | |
| IOO | iShares S&P Global 100 Index | 48.1% | 23.7% | 48.1 | 48.06 | 24 | |
| EWJ | iShares MSCI Japan Index | 30.0% | 12.9% | 30.0 | 30.00 | 25 | |
| SHY | iShares Barclays 1-3 Year Treasury Bond | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1 | 1.13 | 26 | |